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NHS-style social care system could take decades, says Dilnot

Economist Sir Andrew Dilnot warns that Prime Minister Andy Burnham's ambitious plan for entirely free social care could take decades to implement.

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28 Sep 2026Source: BBC Politics3 min read (0 views)
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NHS-style social care system could take decades, says Dilnot

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  • Sir Andrew Dilnot warns an NHS-style social care system may take decades
  • PM Andy Burnham aims for completely free care including residential costs
  • The Health Foundation estimates a universal system could cost £18.5bn annually
  • Scrapping the pensions triple lock is suggested as a funding option

A brand new social care system for England modeled after the National Health Service (NHS) could require decades before it is fully implemented, according to prominent economist Sir Andrew Dilnot, who spoke with the BBC regarding the ongoing policy debates.

Sir Andrew, who previously spearheaded a commission tasked with proposing major reforms to the system 15 years ago, pointed out that Prime Minister Andy Burnham appears determined to make social care completely free of charge, a scope that would incorporate residential and accommodation expenses as well.

With Burnham pledging to place his comprehensive proposals directly before voters at the upcoming general election, Sir Andrew emphasized to the public that meaningful change has now been pushed further away from immediate realization compared to earlier political expectations.

British economist professional office portrait

Stock photo for illustration only, not from the actual event

£18.5BEstimated annual cost of a universal social care system by the Health Foundation
£35,000Lifetime cap proposed by Sir Andrew's original reform commission

Adult social care provides essential state support to help individuals maintain independent lives, encompassing necessary assistance delivered directly at home. However, unlike the NHS, social care services in England remain subject to charges at the point of delivery, leaving numerous vulnerable individuals facing substantial financial burdens.

Addressing potential funding pathways, Labour MP and former minister Darren Jones informed Laura Kuenssberg that abandoning the state pension triple lock policy represents an option the government should evaluate alongside alternative measures to properly finance social care overhauls, despite the triple lock remaining a core pledge in Labour's 2024 election manifesto.

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"Change on social care is now further away than had been implied."

Sir Andrew Dilnot

The triple lock guarantee ensures that state pensions rise annually in line with average wage growth, inflation, or 2.5 percent, whichever metric proves highest. The next general election in the UK is officially not scheduled until August 2029, though the prime minister retains the constitutional option to call a snap election earlier if desired.

Background analysis: The structural reform of social care remains one of the most persistent and politically fraught challenges within British public policy. Balancing universal welfare aspirations against stringent fiscal constraints requires careful navigation, particularly when expanding state-funded models to cover residential accommodation and long-term elderly assistance without destabilizing public finances or violating tax pledges.

The Health Foundation has previously calculated that a universal social care framework funded entirely by the government in England could demand approximately 18.5 billion pounds annually. Although Burnham has asserted his belief that actual implementation costs will fall below this projection, he has yet to outline a concrete financing strategy.

Source: BBC Politics

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